Volume 2 Supplement 1

3rd German Conference on Chemoinformatics: 21. CIC-Workshop

Open Access

Black Swans and white tablets

Chemistry Central Journal20082(Suppl 1):S12

DOI: 10.1186/1752-153X-2-S1-S12

Published: 26 March 2008

The Black Swan, a metaphor for highly improbable, high impact events, warns us to understand the limits of our predictions and expect the “unknown unknowns” everywhere, from war to science and industry. From the earliest stages of discovery to post-marketing events, we argue that fundamentally the structure of pharmaceutical industry is driven by and impacted by both positive and negative Black Swans. We take a critical look at the consequences of the Black Swan impacts in the pharmaceutical industry and what steps can be taken to manage the unpredictable.

Authors’ Affiliations

(1)
University of New Mexico, Division of Biocomputing

Copyright

© Oprea and Hopkins 2008